Johnson & Johnson Failed To Reverse the Downtrend
Johnson and Johnson (JNJ) was the first member of the health consumer staples club to report in the spring on Wall Street. As a large producer of essential hygiene products, personal care items and services, it could reap the benefits of its unique positioning on markets as most people are addictive in their nature to the same kind of skin health brands and baby medications. JNJ is also one of the world leaders in providing prescription and over-the-counter drugs, surgical equipment and orthopaedic implants, which are difficult to be replaced by anything else. Nevertheless, the stock lost 2.15% of their value on April 16. As a result, a smoothly descending channel on monthly charts since the beginning of 2023 still stands intact.
Nominally, the Q1 growth numbers were even better than expected, with EPS (equity per share) coming out at $2.71 vs $2.64 of consensus projections. Yet, there is almost no increase in profit in absolute terms over the past two years, which means the medtech giant is earning less if adjusted for inflation effects. Therefore, even though J&J performance in the segment of innovative medicine could be called impressive, as it contributed to 63.5% of the company's sales amounting to $13.56 billion against preliminary estimates of $13.47 billion, most large investment houses were not satisfied. Some of them just preferred to moderately cut their mid-term targets for the company's price, in the range of $5 to $10 per share to the current levels around $145, citing a lacklustre in forward guidance parameters for the rest of 2024, foreign exchange headwinds (a reason why international sales declined by 0.3% Y0Y) and other factors like a potential loss of exclusivity for Stelara drug brand, which was designed to treat psoriasis, related arthritis and ulcerative colitis.
Johnson & Johnson sees its adjusted operational EPS to range between $10.60 and $10.75 for 2024, with "Innovative Medicine sales growth is expected to be stronger in the first half of the year". Does it mean that the second part of 2024 would experience a slowdown? Again, the Vision Care business of the giant has narrowed due to "changes in distributor inventory". JNJ's CEOs commented on the strategic acquisition of Shockwave Medical and Ambrx to strengthen the company's cardiovascular and oncology portfolios, which could be important but still questionable from the point of view of future financial return. The session of questions and answers during the conference call also included the multiple myeloma franchises and litigation related to some patents, while the company's representatives affirmed confidence in their solid position. The company's future prospect looks rather optimistic, yet the share price dynamics based on mentioned challenges suggests that prematurely buying of JNJ stock at any levels well above the lows of April 2020 may be unreasonable, if only no fresh fundamental drivers appear.
Disclaimer:
The comments, insights, and reviews posted in this section are solely the opinions and perspectives of authors and do not represent the views or endorsements of RHC Investments or its administrators, except if explicitly indicated. RHC Investments provides a platform for users to share their thoughts on financial market news, investing strategies, and related topics. However, we do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any user-generated content.
Investment Risks and Advice:
Please be aware that all investment decisions involve risks, and the information shared on metadoro.com should not be considered as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research, seek professional advice, and exercise caution when making investment decisions.
Moderation and Monitoring:
While we strive to maintain a respectful and informative environment, we cannot endorse or verify the accuracy of all user-generated content. We reserve the right to moderate, edit, or remove any comments or posts that violate our community guidelines, infringe on intellectual property rights, or contain harmful content.
Content Ownership:
By submitting content to metadoro.com, users grant RHC Investments a non-exclusive, royalty-free license to use, display, and distribute the content. Users are responsible for ensuring they have the necessary rights to share the content they post.
Community Guidelines:
To maintain a positive and respectful community, users are expected to adhere to the community guidelines of Metadoro. Any content that is misleading, offensive, or violates applicable laws and regulations will be subject to moderation or removal.
Changes to Disclaimer:
We reserve the right to update, modify, or amend this disclaimer at any time. Users are encouraged to review this disclaimer periodically to stay informed about any changes.